Whoever Wins New York Will Be The Next President

It was a great night for the Bernie Sanders campaign as they took home 47 delegates and 56.6 percent of the vote in Wisconsin. Coupled with his big wins in 7 out of the last 8 races, and Sanders has once again become competitive with rival Hillary Clinton.

Now, the Democratic Socialist senator has set his sights on New York. It’s interesting terrain for both candidates; Clinton served as the state’s senator and Sanders is a born-and-raised New Yorker from Brooklyn. The contest will be one of working class populism versus elite career-politician pragmatism—and the winner there will likely be the Democratic nominee for president.

It might be immediately apparent, but the race in New York will be the place the next President of the United States is chosen. The Republican Party has no candidates viable for the general election, and polling match-ups routinely demonstrate how both Democratic candidates beat Republicans handily in the general election.

It’s a tough race to predict, but if there’s any merit to economist Robert Reich’s proclaimed Death of the Republican Party, the next president will be a Democrat. Now it’s just a matter of deciding which one.

In that article, Reich describes the fracturing of the Republican Party into several distinct warring tribes:

Evangelicals opposed to abortion, gay marriage, and science.
Libertarians opposed to any government constraint on private behavior.
Market fundamentalists convinced the “free market” can do no wrong.
Corporate and Wall Street titans seeking bailouts, subsidies, special tax loopholes, and other forms of crony capitalism.
Billionaires craving even more of the nation’s wealth than they already own.
And white working-class Trumpoids who love Donald. and are becoming convinced the greatest threats to their wellbeing are Muslims, blacks, and Mexicans.

“Each of these tribes has its own separate political organization, its own distinct sources of campaign funding, its own unique ideology – and its own candidate.”

This fracturing all but guarantees the Democrats will win the White House, especially if an independent run by Trump splits the Republican vote.